- The
most significant variable is your stack -
The Late Game in a Poker Tournament occurs when
every player is modifying his play to insure that he at least
makes it into the money. All middle stacks tighten up significantly.
Short stacks that feel they have chance to blind into the
money get even tighter. Short stacks that feel they will come
up short can become maniacs, and Tall stacks become bullies.
This is the point in a Poker Tournament that money is made.
If you are unsuccessful here, you won't make money in poker
tournaments. It is also the point where hard and fast rules
can't work. There are just too many variables. The most significant
variable is your stack. If you have a tall stack you can gamble
almost with impunity, often increasing your chip lead significantly.
If you have short stack, you have to gamble, and just pray
to the Poker gods to get lucky.
There are two ways to measure a short stack; Its' relationship
to the average or its relationship to the blinds. Since the
blind pressure can become oppressive to everyone at this point,
use the relationship to the blinds. It will give you a better
grasp of your situation.
20 times the BB might be considered a middle stack.
(Especially if there are a greater number of shorter stacks
than places to the money. 32 shorter stacks and 30 places
to the money.) Look for opportunities to steal the blinds
to maintain your position. Try not to get involved with taller
stacks.
10 times the BB might not be that bad if there are
many shorter stacks still in the poker tournament. Still,
look for opportunities to steal the blinds to maintain your
position. There is also another problem, compared to the other
stacks, your stack is losing leverage. When your stack size
is small relative to others, they can call you almost in passing,
and will. Your chances of an outright steal are decreasing.
5 times the BB, you are definitely under blind pressure.
(Unless it is only a few eliminations from the money a several
other short stacks.) At best you have 3 rounds left. If you
think there is a possibility of making the money, tend to
hold on and wait for the good hand. Otherwise you need to
pick your spot and take the chance.
As a last word on short stacks, often, you can increase your
chances of making the money by decreasing your chances of
making the bigger money. Will you give up the chance to win
$30 for a chance to win $2000, even if the chance of winning
the $2000 is small.
Middle stacks, stick to the top cards. Don't get in confrontations
with larger stacks unless you have a definite edge. Realize
that short stacks will go all in at the drop of a hat so don't
play them unless your hand has all-in quality. When playing
marginal cards always do it from late position and against
no callers.
Raise.
Ultimately the middle stack at this level of a poker tournament
is faced with the same decision as a short stack. "You
can increase your chances of making the money by decreasing
your chances of making the bigger money." Although your
chances of winning the big prize are significantly better.
Tall stacks own this level of a Poker tournament. They bully
and eliminate short stacks almost at will. If they take several
small losses, they can regroup and still expect to do well
in the poker tournament. In many poker tournaments, you can
often see tall stacks that simply sit-out during this period
of the tournament and insure their position in the money,
but they these "Poker" players give up a unique
opportunity to garner a large number of additional chips for
the final end-game.
In Freeroll tournaments tend to target the final prize. Although
free rolls often pay many places, your not going to get much
for $5. In a free roll, you want to win the top prizes. When
the top prize is exceptional, like a cruise or ticket to a
big money poker tournament, everything else is inconsequential.
See you at the final table.
Sarge |