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"Everything
I Say, Is A Lie"
Most
will recognize this as Epimenides Paradox, or, more
simply, the Liar's Paradox. The astute few of you
may also recognize it as something Spock said in an
old episode of Star Trek. He had other good lines
that are related to poker as well. When someone said
to him, "I think you're bluffing." He replied,
"Vulcans, never bluff!!!" To which the first
guy agreed, "No, I don't suppose they do…"
And in one of the early movies, when someone flat
out accused him with, "You lied." He had
the greatest comeback in the history of movies, "I
exaggerated."
What
does all this have to do with poker, you ask? Well,
today I'd like to talk about bluffing. When to do
it, how, and what to do when you get away with it.
It might also be a good idea to talk about when not
to bluff.
There
are several instances where bluffing might not be
a good idea. If you're faced with a calling station,
someone that will call every bet no matter what you
do, then this person probably will stay all the way
to the river, even with little or no holdings. Most
beginners fall into this trap as well. You probably
shouldn't bluff them either. This next one is obvious,
however unlikely, as, you can't bluff when you have
the best hand. If you think you're bluffing, and the
other players fold, you can't know for sure that you
did indeed, bluff.
Unless
of course, after the hand is over, you show your bluff.
Which is almost never a good idea. Poker is mostly
a game of limited information, and the less you give
away free, the better off you'll be. Now, I'm sure
a lot of you have seen the promo on ESPN, with Chris
"Jesus" Ferguson betting it all with deuce
seven offsuit and getting the guy to fold. He justifies
showing his cards with, "Sometimes, you want
to advertise your bluffs. It makes your opponents
second guess themselves, it drives them crazy. But
mostly you're setting them up for later." I don't
necessarily know that this will work against certain
players, and it's more of a TV move.
Specifically,
when you raise before the flop, and the flop misses
you completely, you have two choices. Usually, everyone
checks to you, the raiser. Now, you can check as well,
and show weakness. It might be a better idea, to try
to make others at the table think you connected with
the flop, and lead out with another bet. You'll be
surprised how many times this works, and everyone
else folds. However, I wouldn't recommend this as
a regular habit.
With
every hand you play, you should be asking yourself
the question, "What can I make them think that
I have?" and then bet accordingly. Poker at its
roots, especially No Limit Hold 'Em, is a game of
deception.
"What
are the others doing, and how does it make me feel?"
is something I ask myself, every hand I play. If I
sense weakness, or pickup a tell, as we talked about
last time, then it's probably the right time for a
bluff. That is if I don't have the best hand, as I
stated above. Most often, you won't know if your bluffs
are truly successful, as, if they work, the other
player(s) will fold to you, and you'll win the pot.
Only if you've managed to put them on tilt will they
sometimes show what they folded. Or, if you're lucky
enough to make it to a final table that's being broadcast
on TV, you'll get to see it when you watch the telecast.
Of course, if you're at that level, you're probably
not reading this article.
If
you've made it this far, you're probably wondering
when is a good time to bluff. I spoke of not hitting
the flop earlier. The odds are, your opponent didn't
hit the flop either. If either or both you of you
are unpaired before the flop, you'll miss the flop
entirely two out of three times. Again, look for weakness.
I usually bluff when my opponent has shown weakness,
and I've been showing strength up to that point. You'll
also want to have enough chips to bluff, and you should
make sure your opponent has enough as well, as he
may already be pot committed, therefore a bluff would
bring the call you don't want.
Now
that you've decided a bluff is in order, you should
be thinking about how to bluff. Or, more likely, not
thinking about it, as you might give off a tell that
you're bluffing. Be consistent with your betting throughout
your session, and most won't know that you're lying,
and making up facts some of the time. If you've varied
your play, and switched gears a few times, a pot sized
bet will usually be enough to push others off a hand.
There is a fine line between acting, and overacting.
"Going Hollywood" and attempting to act
like you're not bluffing, is a sure way to get your
bluff called. Unless of course like me, you've taken
several hundred acting lessons.
Some
final thoughts to consider. If you consistently get
caught bluffing, you are probably bluffing too much,
while conversely, if you never get caught, you might
not be bluffing enough. On the other side, if you
never get bluffed out, you're probably calling too
much. Whether you're telling the truth, exaggerating,
or outright lying, bluffing in poker is an art, and
not a science. What works on a particular hand at
one table, may not work in the exact same situation
at another. This is just a primer of what bluffing
is all about. Whole books could be written on the
subject. In fact, one has. Of course, I may be telling
the truth, or, I may be bluffing.
72 and sunny in Redondo Beach.
See you next time.
Disclaimer: Mike's views don't necessarily reflect
anyone else's that you know, and sometimes, not even
his own. If you think he's bluffing, feel free to
email him at Batman@azteca.net and let him know.
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